Informal EU Heads of State and Government Meeting

August 16, 2018

16th August – The EU – I’m looking forward to reading about the Informal Council Meeting on the 20th September which will be dealing with several important topics, and hopefully, Brexit. As Brexit will be happening in this coming parliamentary year, the informal meeting would be an invaluable opportunity to set out, complete and agree all relevant matters before the formal October meeting. An opportunity not to be missed.

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BoE Meeting today

August 2, 2018

August 2 – hope the rise, if there is one, isn’t too ‘real.’ (The Telegraph)

Liam Fox’s warning on extending Article 50

July 28, 2018

July 28 – I read Liam Fox’s advice not to extend Article 50 beyond March 2019 and agree with it. Not so sure about stockpiling. How would stockpiling food work? Are there vast freezer warehouses standing ready? Now medicine stockpiling sounds a good idea, not only for its own sake, but also to show the UK is serious about a no-deal scenario, although I feel sure October will see a satisfactory deal, including a trade deal. The issue about the £40 billion is more straightforward. £40 billion is an awful lot of money and any country, the UK being no exception, would expect a satisfactory trade deal in exchange. I’m just waiting for Germany to say to Michel Barnier – make this happen.

EU Advice about a no-deal scenario

July 19, 2018

July 19 – I found the advice a little premature and possibly intended to exert pressure, which is only to be expected. Much better for everyone that good deal for both sides is achieved.

What’s next with Brexit?

July 15, 2018

July 16 – The four Brexiteer amendments passed and the next day the Remainer amendment didn’t.

July 15 – I read Steve Baker’s article in the Sunday Telegraph today and felt the probabilities are that it is a reasonably accurate interpretation of what has been happening recently, allowing for the writer’s disappointment and irritation with the Chequers proposal. So what happens now? The statement comes before Parliament tomorrow and several amendments have been put forward. Interesting times.

28-29 June Consilium

June 26, 2018

June 26 – Looking forward to the summit of the EU Council this week and expecting the two days to be productive.

Although the UK’s paper on its Brexit position will not be issued until afterwards, perhaps any outstanding matters will be explored at the side meetings. However, a considerable amount of work has been done and many issues are now settled.

I still like the technological solution for post Brexit borders and hope fully realistic estimates of costs are being drawn up, not the ones I’ve seen, and timescales investigated, assuming the actual technology is at hand; not beyond the wit of man as somebody said.

Hope we see good progress at the summit and I am as pleased as with the Euro group last week.

 

Greece’s Fourth Review

June 22, 2018

June 22 – Greece – As hoped, early this morning the fourth review of the 3rd bailout, ESM programme, was successfully concluded and significant debt relief was established. Well done everyone.

Streamlining

June 13, 2018

June 13th – Heard with interest yesterday about the Forward App available now to the medical profession and thought how much it encapsulated the possibility of a similar streamlining in hospital releases and care packages. Extra ring-fenced funding could form the basis of this and the new major funding likely for the NHS on July 5, marking the 70th anniversary of the institution’s foundation, would afford a very good opportunity to enable it.

HM Customs and Revenue – Brexit

May 24, 2018

May 24 – interestingly, the HMRC have found problems with both proposals for solving leaving the EU customs union. The max fac is going to cost a lot and the partnership proposal is going to take a lot of time.

I imagine the experts on both sides are going to debate this and contest the findings. Some of the HMRC’s argument was puzzling, for me anyway. It wasn’t clear why there should be year on year repetition of charges for movements. Won’t they be set up technologically? Perhaps some kind technocrat will analyse this and set it all out for the ordinary reader. And the five years needed for the partnership model, if accurate, would seem to rule it out, apart from the issue of not fully being able to implement international trade deals.

Brexit, the Customs Union and the Backstop

May 18, 2018

May 18 – There is a suggestion of a one or two month extension of  the transition period at the beginning of 2021 in order to reassure the EU that the UK will have everything running smoothly for max fac  to take the place of the customs union.

Laying aside the probability that the two and half years remaining would be sufficient, even with the various trial runs in 2020, the backstop of two months of the UK staying in the customs union seems possible, although not welcome and should be a strong incentive to get the technological solution completed on time. What do other brexiteers think?

The partnership alternative worries me, if it means it will impinge upon UK sovereignty in any way.